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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10972/3506

Título : A spatio‑temporal model of homicide in El Salvador
Autor : Carcach, Carlos
Contribuidor: Escuela Superior de Economía y Negocios (ESEN)
Materias: HOMICIDIO - ESTADÍSTICAS - EL SALVADOR
PANDILLAS - EL SALVADOR
CRIMINOLOGÍA
EL SALVADOR
Palabras clave : Bayesian mapping
Homicide trends
Violence corridors
Bayesian spatio-temporal models
Mapeo bayesiano
Tendencias de homicidios
Corredores de violencia
Modelos espacio-temporales bayesianos
Issue Date: 22-Aug-2015
Editorial : Springer Open
Resumen : This paper examines the spatio-temporal evolution of homicide across the municipalities of El Salvador. It aims at identifying both temporal trends and spatial clusters that may contribute to the formation of time-stable corridors lying behind a historically (recurrent) high homicide rate. The results from this study reveal the presence of significant clusters of high homicide municipalities in the Western part of the country that have remained stable over time, and a process of formation of high homicide clusters in the Eastern region. The results show an increasing homicide trend from 2002 to 2013 with significant municipality-specific differential trends across the country. The data suggests that links may exist between the dynamics of homicide rates, drug trafficking and organized crime.
ISSN : 2193-7680
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10972/3506
Appears in Collections:Artículos publicados en revistas (ESEN)

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Biblioteca Nacional de El Salvador Escuela Especializada en Ingeniería ITCA-FEPADE Escuela Superior de Economía y Negocios Universidad Centroamericana José Simeón Cañas UCA Universidad de El Salvador Universidad Dr. José Matías Delgado Universidad Don Bosco Universidad Evangélica de El Salvador Universidad Francisco Gavidia Universidad Tecnológica